Open Conference Systems, Nordic Geographers Meeting 2011

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Agricultural and/or rural futures? A GIS-based scenario study of the future development of rural space in Denmark
Chris Kjeldsen

Last modified: 2011-02-11

Abstract


The paper is derived from a scenario study commissioned by the International Centre for Research in Organic Food Systems (ICROFS) which investigated the potential for increasing organic production with a factor four in order to meet the rising demand for organic food. In addition the paper is a critical inquiry into the development perspectives recently formulated by the Danish Agriculture and Food Council. The theme we wish to address is how the relation between rural and agricultural space be reconfigured in a sustainable manner? The inquiry is based on a scenario typology which distinguishes six different rural spaces, depending on the relative importance of the agricultural sector and the level of rural development (van der Ploeg et al. 2008). Using high-resolution GIS-based data it will be demonstrated how neither adversaries of large scale conversion to organic agriculture nor the vision formulated by the Danish Agriculture and Food Council will meet the requirements for sustainable development of rural space in Denmark due to the lack of an integrated approach to development. Instead insights from rural sociology and ecological economics point toward rural ‘eco-economy’  and co-evolution (Kitchen and Marsden 2009; Kallis and Norgaard 2010) as more appropriate frameworks for development which allows for an integration across sectors as well as between rural and urban spaces.